Home page: How to discourage violent criminals

How to Discourage your Violent Criminals is simple:

Let them know Their Prey can Shoot Back...

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1. Study: FBI State data show that Discouraging Criminals works

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FBI State data shows encouraging concealed carry dramatically reduces robbery

The robbery rate in South Dakota is less than a quarter of Texas, 78.3% lower, yet their other violent crime rates are actually a little higher...

The latest FBI Table 5: Crime in the United States by State Open Page in a new Tab shows that South Dakota has very little robbery, just 24.7% of the National Average rate compared to Texas where the robbery rate is 114.1%. But their rates of violent crime, murder, rape and aggravated assault are all around the National Average, as in Texas. So why does South Dakota have far fewer robberies - just 21.7% of the rate in Texas?

The 2016 Crime Prevention Research Center Study Table 3 Open Page in a new Tab shows the cost of a handgun permit as $10 in South Dakota while the cost in Texas is substantially higher at $140. Their table 2 emphasizes the result of discouraging citizens from protecting themselves and their family: 14.7% of adults in South Dakota have concealed carry permits while far fewer adults - just 5.4% - have one in Texas.

They also found that Texas with over twice the population of Pennsylvania has 1.15 million permit holders to Pennsylvania's 1.28 million. It's not that Texans don’t like guns - it’s simply that they have a more difficult time getting permits. The fee for a 5-year permit is only $20 in Pennsylvania.

Clearly there are other factors as well as demographics and population producing such dramatically lower robbery. But the other crime rates are similar, so why just robbery? The FBI data verifies the Concealed Carry study findings: the more you encourage armed citizens, the more you discourage armed robbery!

Update.
Texas has now passed a bill to lower the cost of a permit to $40 Open Page in a new Tab. Lowering the cost is one of our several dozen recommendations, their responsible politicians know that encouraging law-abiding citizens to be able to protect themselves, their family and their property reduces violent crime.

2. Robbery is a serial offense!

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two armed young men robbing black businessman
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Police Chiefs tell us that Robbery is a serial offense. Yet a violent criminal doesn't attack when he fears getting shot which not only reduces violent attacks, it saves you lots of money Open Page in a new Tab as well as improves your violent crime statistics!

There's good news when you put away a perp. You're a hero as you enjoy the violent crime reductions in the short-term and improve your city's standing in the competition for investment. The bad news? Recidivism. Once he's released, he goes back home and resumes his crime spree, the reductions vanish and then you're a zero rather than a hero.

There's even worse news. When incarcerated, he studies with the other inmates to find out what he did wrong to get caught, so his next crimes are even harder for your police to solve. You have a short window of opportunity before he's released and violent crime goes back up even higher than before. The sooner you start discouraging your violent criminals, the sooner they realize they could be shot and injured and give up raping, robbing, and assaulting your innocent people...

The long-term solution? Discourage them all -
ensuring you have your citizens' full support costs less than a couple of robberies or an extra police officer yet has far more impact. Once a criminal decides the risk of being shot in your city is too high Open Page in a new Tab, he stops attacking your citizens for ever. Imprisonment is temporary, yet you enjoy the crime reductions from his fear of injury both immediately AND long-term.

3. Study: Encouraging Concealed Carry decreases violent crime

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The shorter blue lines show the big drop in violent crime once CSU encouraged concealed carry. The taller brown lines on the right show how much the gun ban at CU Boulder increased violent crime
When Colorado’s concealed carry law was enacted in 2003, the University of Colorado refused to allow their students to protect themselves, while Colorado State University allowed them to concealed carry. Since the external factors are reasonably similar, their very different results maintained over 12 years give an eye-opening comparison of the effectiveness of being armed and able to defend yourself.

Encouraging concealed carry created an immediate drop of 47.7% in violent crime (from 30 in 2002 to 16 in 2003) at Colorado State. But at CU Boulder (brown lines), their defective strategy of banning guns to increase safety immediately increased violent crime by 10% instead.

High violent crime rates disprove the self-serving contention that a Police Chief is good at educating their citizens about the benefits of being armed. But if they were, their city would have less violent crime than National or State Average from more Defensive Gun Uses.

The overwhelming majority of American voters feel safer
living in a neighborhood with guns Open Page in a new Tab, only 22% feel safer living in a gun-free one. Most Americans know, just like most police officers Open Page in a new Tab, that armed civilians discourage criminals. But why does discouraging criminals work so well? See the crucial understanding missed by so many... all Open Page in a new Tab

4. Prevent violent crime by discouraging your criminals

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170 million new guns, 51% decrease in violent crime since 1991
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DGUs save billions - not just millions - of dollars a year
Every violent criminal who decides NOT to attack (all Open Page in a new Tab) because he fears being injured is one less violent crime in your city. So is every assault thwarted by an armed citizen. They both reduce violent assaults 24/7/365 without any police presence and decrease the number and severity of victim injuries as well as reduce gun violence.

A defensive gun use (DGU) is when you use a gun in self-defense against assault - a rapist, robber, mugger, attacker, etc. - whether you fire it or not. Most DGUs aren't reported to the police and so cost your city nothing. The perp stops his assault once he sees his prey is armed, the gun isn't fired, no one is injured and the police aren't informed. Defensive guns protect women from rape 24/7/365, see
here, here, here, here, here, and many more here.

Back
in 1995 there were 2.16 million DGUs and since then the population has increased, the violent crime rate has halved and the number of guns has doubled. How much has improved policing contributed to this decrease? Have criminals become less violent - or just more cautious? How much has twice as many guns in responsible hands prevented violent crime? Is Chicago's decline caused by rampant gun violence from draconian gun control while, in contrast, Houston grows with ubiquitous guns?

With
"more than 3 million DGUs per year", roughly one person in a hundred uses a gun in self-defense every year. Pro-rata, the normalized city of 100,000 people has 373 violent crimes a year and their 1,000 DGUs help thwart 1,000 crimes - mostly without involving the police. But no matter how much they already save you or how many you now have, each DGU thwarts a violent crime and therefore improves your violent crime statistics. A very good reason to encourage more!

How much do DGUs save? The US government calculated
the Tangible Per-Offense Total Costs including the Criminal Justice System Cost of crime. With some three million a year, DGUs save the Criminal Justice System around $40 billion with savings of some $60 billion for society. Pro-rata for the normalized 100,000 person city, that's $13 million in Criminal Justice System savings and $20 million for your community...

5. How much does your violent crime cost your city?

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Money down the drain
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The US government study of the tangible per-offense cost of violent crime, all Open Page in a new Tab, found that violent crime costs both citizens and society LOTS of money. Each defensive gun usage which thwarts a robbery saves the Criminal Justice System $13,827 and saves your community $21,398. It's both simple and easy to calculate the cost of your violent crime: Simply multiply your city's number of each crime recorded at the FBI with the cost of each one...

Economists have a name for
mistakenly thinking that robbery and violent crime have little financial impact: Bastiat's broken window fallacy. You want your citizens spending their time productively - creating new wealth - instead of recovering from or preventing crime. Since your city loses along with the victim (from $15,000 to $60,000 per-offense), your violent crime costs you hundreds of thousands if not millions of dollars annually.

There are many ways of figuring out the income your city is losing because of your high violent crime, see
1 here, 2 here, 3 here, 4 here, 5 here, 6 here, 7 here, 8 here, and 9 here. With the smallest loss at half a million dollars a year so far, discouraging your violent criminals from assaulting your people would improve your city's finances by tens of thousands of dollars a month.
Large pile of $100 bills
One city's lost income from poor population growth

Encouraging your citizens to be able to defend their families will decrease your violent crime rate and allow your officers to be more responsive to citizens' concerns. With less crime, you won't need more police so let's examine the economic benefits of expanding your population without annexing more land.

One city grew its population of some 35,000 in 2000 to 38,500 in 2014. That's by 10% while the US population had grown by 13.7% over the same period. If this city had enjoyed the same or less violent crime than the rest of the country enabling its population to increase at just the average US rate, its population and its income this year would be some 3.7% larger than its budgeted $55,000,000.

Of course, 13.7% is the average growth in the USA, half of all US cities enjoy more than 13.7% growth! So ignoring all the other benefits of lower violent crime, this city would have an extra $2,000,000 income this year - that's $170,000 more a month - with just the average growth of the rest of the country.

6. Once you're prepared, even negativity is valuable

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UGO Kennesaw grows while Complete Gun Ban Morton Grove population declines
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Negative publicity for UGO Kennesaw causes population to skyrocket
How does media negativity about encouraging armed self-defense affect a person or a company when relocating? Even negative publicity is beneficial! For anyone investigating with an open mind, armed citizens are a big positive since the FBI report that more guns result in less crime Open Page in a new Tab.

Morton Grove's total gun ban received enormous media approval although it increased their crime rate and their population decreased. In response, Kennesaw encouraged their responsible citizens to be armed to protect their families - and got universal condemnation.

What happened to Kennesaw's economic growth? The strident negativity immediately slashed their violent crime by 74% and skyrocketed their economy. Strong evidence that media negativity is beneficial, it informed their criminals the city was unsafe for violent crime and shows both businesses and people choose very low crime when relocating.
If you believe that gun-free zones can be a good idea, then how does preventing law-abiding citizens from defending themselves and their families decrease crime? How do you trace from start to finish, step by step, the causal path from the gun ban to the decrease in violent crime that you believe it gives you?

7. Your return on investment? A few short months

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Woman with battered face had no gun
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"The deputy who rescued me told me no woman should ever have to be in a situation as helpless as mine and I needed to learn how to use a gun." http://thewellarmedwoman.com/women-and-guns/survival-stories/peggys-story
You don't need us to implement this strategy Open Page in a new Tab but you do want your citizens to support you in discouraging your criminals and making your city safer and more prosperous. Printing a special edition of our Concealed Carry study for your city costs just a couple of dollars per resident, less than the Victim Cost for each robbery at $3.36. This is less than the cost of a few robberies at $21,398 each and often less than hiring an extra police officer! ** Save up to 30% - enjoy your special introductory discount by ordering your city's special edition within thirty days.

The
Federal Government's studies (all Open Page in a new Tab) show that, pro-rata, the Victim Cost for each robbery costs each of your residents $3.36 (327,374 robberies at $3,299 Crime Victim Cost each over 321,418,820 people) and the Criminal Justice System Cost for each resident is $14.08. The Tangible Per-Offense Total Cost is $21.79. Each of your robberies costs your city a lot more than a couple of dollars per citizen, investing a few dollars per citizen to discourage your criminals saves a whole lot more!

Compare the costs of NOT discouraging your criminals to how much your investment will save you. The same
US Government study measured the Criminal Justice System cost of each robbery at $13,827. That's how much each DGU which thwarts a robbery saves the police, the total savings for each DGU are $21,398. Thwarting rape saves police and society almost double as much...
If discouraging criminals from attacking good people gives you the same 47.7% violent crime reduction in our Concealed Carry Study, you'll cover the investment cost in 2.34 months. With the same 78.3% reduction found by comparing the FBI TX vs SD crime, you'll cover the cost in 1.42 months. Kennesaw's violent crime plummeted by 74% the first year and was 79% lower five years later.

If your city has more violent crime than National Average, then your return on investment time will be even shorter. But since police costs are largely fixed, much of these Criminal Justice System savings won't immediately impact your budget. With double National Average violent crime, even if it just thwarts a quarter of your robberies and rapes, your return on investment is a few months.

8. Our niche - the truth about the defensive value of guns

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You need the cooperation and support of your law-abiding citizens. They need to know why and how decreasing your city's number of defenseless citizens makes you all safer and more prosperous.
Ebook cover for Concealed Carry study Our niche is to ensure you have the support of your citizens in preventing crime, encouraging responsible self-defense, refuting the inevitable anti-gun negativity and avoiding any and all implementation pitfalls Open Page in a new Tab. See how much your investment in gaining their support costs in your return on investment above.

We will create and publish a customized version of our Concealed Carry study for your city which can have your name or someone else's name such as your Mayor as primary author. Producing and printing a book is expensive, your book is published both as a real paper book for your citizens to hold as well as a pdf and an e-book for online reading. The initial cost of our time and expertise to assist you in successfully discouraging your criminals is included at no extra charge.

Our study of rape and violent crime shows encouraging Concealed Carry gave an immediate DECREASE of 47.7% in violent crime and of 75% in rape. The very similar control that banned guns immediately INCREASED violent crime by 10% and rape by 63%. It proves that
defensive guns protect everybody from rape and violent crime.

By making your customized edition available to all your voters and citizens at no charge, they're more likely to appreciate you and all your efforts to increase their safety, improve their lives, decrease violent crime, reduce crime injuries, and encourage economic development creating jobs in your city...

We've reserved a copy of the Concealed Carry at University study for you to evaluate at no charge, remember the 100% discount code "Chief", and
get your free copy using the discount code "Chief" here. Open Page in a new Tab

9. What's in it for you?

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Group of people saying THANK-YOU
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Why should you support discouraging violent criminals, rapists, and terrorists from attacking your law-abiding citizens and their families? Good question since there's so much misleading - actually deceitful - negativity about responsible people being able to defend themselves with a firearm, all Open Page in a new Tab.

Your right to defend yourself and your loved ones is built into the US Constitution; reductions in violent crime improve economic development and increases the value of your property. Your citizens will LOVE the crime reductions and, usually,
so do police officers.

Then there's the Criminal Justice System savings as well as fewer victim injuries and - the improved income for your city: see
savings-1, savings-2, savings-3, savings-4, savings-5, savings-6, savings-7, savings-8, savings-9. It's a mistake to think high violent crime costs you nothing - that's Bastiat's broken window fallacy - because recovering from crime wastes money rather than create wealth.

And the ways in which you benefit directly?
How better to serve your city than by reducing your officers' workload, improving citizen satisfaction with your performance, and resolving a crucial issue - crime costs each victim significant amounts of money? Encouraging your law-abiding citizens to defend their families also satisfies your inner need to make the world a better place because you passed this way...

And if you're wondering why we do this, see
what's in it for us on the about-us page.

Food for Thought

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Let the one who has no sword sell his cloak and buy one Jesus (Luke 22 36)
Milwaukee Sheriff David Clarke
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"With officers laid off and furloughed, simply calling 911 and waiting is no longer your best option. You can beg for mercy from a violent criminal, hide under the bed, or you can fight back; but are you prepared?

"Consider taking a certified safety course in handling a firearm so you can defend yourself until we get there. You have a duty to protect yourself and your family."

West Columbia Police Chief Dennis Tyndall
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“I was against concealed weapons at first,
because I thought there'll be more road rage and more shooting, but at the end of the day I was wrong about that."


– Chief Dennis Tyndall, West Columbia, South Carolina

West Columbia Police Chief Dennis Tyndall plans to run for Lexington County sheriff
http://www.thestate.com/news/local/article13864646.html Open Page in a new Tab or Window

SCOTUS Justice Clarence Thomas
Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas agreed with the judgment in McDonald v. Chicago (2010) that the right to keep and bear arms is applicable to state and local governments, but went even further in finding that an individual's right to bear arms is a fundamental privilege of American citizenship.

His concurrence in McDonald draws from a long and uninterrupted line of civil rights activists who preached the virtues of armed self-defense:

The great abolitionist leader Frederick Douglass, for instance, who famously urged President Abraham Lincoln to arm the liberated slaves against their former masters, was an outspoken champion of gun rights.

Founder of the pioneering Regional Council of Negro Leadership and a longtime ally of the NAACP, Mississippi doctor T.R.M. Howard saw no reason to separate the struggle for racial equality from the case for armed self-defense.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clarence_Thomas#Second_Amendment Open Page in a new Tab

Civil Rights and Armed Self-Defense, Clarence Thomas exceptional concurring opinion in McDonald v. Chicago. Open Page in a new Tab

Stopped by police 14.3 deaths, stopped by civilians 2.3 die

Average deaths in a shooting rampage when stopped by police: 14.3.
Average deaths when stopped by armed civilians?
Far less - just 2.3.


So discourage violent criminals and terrorists from attacking your people. Encourage your qualified, law-abiding citizens to be able to defend themselves, their family and their property. Both encouraging concealed carry as well as direct discouragement are entirely optional - there's no penalty for anyone objecting for any reason at all!


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