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Do Disarmed Victims encourage Violent Criminals?

1. Is Demographics - Congestion - the Only Cause?

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Is congestion the sole cause of higher crime rates in different cities across America? Demographics such as crowded cities are obviously important, but are they the only cause of high violent crime? Does a citizen's ability to defend herself from a violent criminal have anything to do with the violent crime rate?

The Northeast is more congested than the Midwest, and the latest FBI report shows that as more guns are sold in America, crime rates have come down everywhere. But, crucially, crime rates have come down more in the Midwest with more guns than the congested Northeast with more gun control Open Page in a new Tab or Window. So is it only congestion that matters, or does the risk of being shot by an armed victim also influence violent criminals?

2. Chicago and Houston have Similar Demographics

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With the toughest gun laws in the nation, Chicago saw homicides jump by 15% in a single year. Chicago's murder rate Open Page in a new Tab or Window is 15.65 per 100,000 people, compared with 4.5 for the Midwest, and 5.6 for Illinois.


Chicago has a much higher crime rate than Houston Open Page in a new Tab or Window. Yet they are very similar in terms of socioeconomic factors such as population, density, and segregation. Chicago, like Houston, is a major center for illegal activities such as the drug trade and human trafficking. Enjoy the comparison...


Chicago crime rates are beginning to come down now they've been forced to obey the Supreme Court ruling and issue gun licenses. But city leaders have settled for restrictions described as the closest they could legally get to banning guns without a ban. President Obama's home state of Illinois is one of the few states in the nation with virtually no provision to let private citizens carry guns in public Open Page in a new Tab or Window.

3. Washington DC Lowers Murder Rate with LESS Gun Control

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Having nothing to do with congestion or demographics, the Washington DC murder rate soared while their very restrictive gun-control act was in force, yet when this law was overturned by the Supreme Court, the crime rate came right back down.

According to JustFacts.com Open Page in a new Tab or Window, during the thirty plus years in which the Washington DC handgun ban and trigger lock law was in effect, the D.C. murder rate averaged 73% higher than at the outset of their safe storage law, while the U.S. murder rate averaged 11% lower.

4. Police work is Easier with Empowered Citizens

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Some Police Chiefs like to imagine that any and all crime reductions are due solely to their staff and their strategies. While effective policing is of course vital, empowering citizens to defend themselves complements all police strategies nicely. When a violent criminal attacks, a gun empowers a responsible citizen to defend herself until armed police arrive to answer her 911 call.

City of Nelson Police Chief Jim Koury enjoys the increased cooperation the police get in solving crimes from citizens who can protect themselves:

“People normally don't want to get involved in suspicious activity or crimes because they're scared of becoming a victim themselves.

"But [once you're armed and able to protect yourself], you're much more likely to be open and sincere with police officers because you have a means to defend yourself and your family if the bad guys come looking for you.”

5. Detroit after Decades of Gun Control

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It is possible to have a defensive gun legally in Detroit, but it's both time-consuming and onerous. Owning a firearm for self-defense is highly regulated and strongly discouraged Open Page in a new Tab or Window. As a result, Detroit has the second highest murder rate in the country and has enjoyed the dubious distinction of topping the Forbes Magazine list of America's most dangerous cities Open Page in a new Tab or Window for the fourth year running.

CityRating.com uses FBI data supplied by Detroit police to compare crime across America. In 2012 Detroit's violent crime rate was more than four times higher than the National Average Open Page in a new Tab or Window. Property crime was double National. Simply put, as a means of controlling crime and protecting responsible citizens, gun control is a dismal failure. 

Law-abiding citizens have had enough. In a survey commissioned by Detroit News, 40% of respondents replied they were planning to leave within the next five years Open Page in a new Tab or Window. Crime, rather than unemployment or education, was the major reason. More than half of Detroit's residents said they'd leave today if they could.

6. Congested Areas have More Violent Criminals

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Demographics affect crime, areas with different population densities usually have different crime rates. Many years ago, a fascinating study showed that rats in congested cages rape female rats and attack others while rats in less congested cages do not. [Although this particular study doesn't seem to be online, see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Behavioral_sink Open Page in a new Tab or Window for similar reference.]

While gun sales rise across the US, is congestion the only reason for the Northeast's smaller decrease in crime than the Midwest? Although higher population is clearly part of the explanation, is it the only cause?

No, because other people's firearms also protect you and your family from violent crime. The study by the respected Crime Prevention Research Center Open Page in a new Tab or Window showed that: "Murder rates fall as the number of adults carrying concealed handguns increases." Other statistically significant findings include:

"The six states that allow people to carry concealed handguns without a permit have much lower murder and violent crime rates than the six states which try to stop people having concealed handguns."


Violent criminals fear being shot by their victim no matter how congested the area. In the congested Northeast, gun controls give responsible citizens less guns which discourage violent criminals less, whereas citizens in the Midwest have more guns which discourage violent criminals more.

7. How can Violent Predators be stopped?

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Crime can be discouraged in various ways. Burglar bars, electronic fences, armed security etc. all help decrease crime. But once you have a violent - predatory - career criminal, what stops him from attacking your citizens? Some of the more effective strategies include:
  • Regular Police patrols stop him with the fear of being arrested

  • Police use the cooperation of the public to find the criminal

  • Courts then stop him by locking him up once proven guilty

  • Both knowing that the number of guns is increasing as well as encouraging gun ownership motivates him to stop with the fear that his prey is armed and he'll be shot and injured
The law-abiding public understand they can't rely on the police to protect them 24/7, that's why they're buying guns to defend their families in record numbers. And it's working...

8. As gun sales soar, gun crimes plummet - DoJ Survey

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The US Department of Justice survey shows that as gun sales soar, gun crimes plummet Open Page in a new Tab or Window. Over the course of 18 years, gun-related homicides dropped 39 percent from 18,253 in 1993 to 11,101 in 2011. Non-fatal firearm crimes decreased even more, a whopping 69 percent during the same period.

The DoJ study also showed that even more guns cause even less crime Open Page in a new Tab or Window. "Gun-ownership rates in the South (50%) far exceed gun-ownership rates in the Northeast (22%), yet violent crime is down more in the South than in the Northeast, according to the FBI statistics."

Gun violence is down sharply since Kennesaw encouraged gun ownership in 1982, while all across the USA, gun sales have been soaring. Are gun-control fanatics right? or does the increase in guns owned by law-abiding citizens help decrease gun violence?

9. Gun-free Britain has more Hot Burglaries than USA

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Studies by Florida State University criminologist Dr. Gary Kleck and the Department of Justice found that guns serve as a deterrent and are frequently used to defend against crime Open Page in a new Tab or Window. He concluded that the risk of armed robbery is higher in Britain and the Netherlands because of stringent gun control.

The rate of hot burglaries in Great Britain at 59% is around four times the US rate. As respected criminologist Dr. John Lott reports. "If you survey burglars, American burglars spend at least twice as long casing a joint before they break in ... The number one reason they give for taking so much time is: They're afraid of getting shot Open Page in a new Tab or Window."

Kleck concluded there would be an additional 450,000 hot burglaries in the USA if the US rate were similar to the rate in gun-free Britain Open Page in a new Tab or Window. He attributes the lower number of hot burglaries in America to widespread gun ownership.

10. Violent criminals are more afraid of armed victims than the police

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FEAR of the armed citizen - along with the threat of tough punishment for using a gun (or other weapons) in committing a violent crime - are significant factors in both reducing and deterring crime.

Professors Wright and Rossi found that the majority of violent criminals are more afraid of being shot by their victims than of the police Open Page in a new Tab or Window in their "Armed and Considered Dangerous" survey funded by the US Department of Justice Open Page in a new Tab or Window.

Criminologists James Wright and Peter Rossi studied nearly 2,000 incarcerated felons to find that many violent criminals reported they had been "scared off, shot at, wounded or captured" by a victim armed with a firearm, see the Armed Criminal in America Open Page in a new Tab or Window.

11. Comprehensive proof that with More Guns, there's Less Crime

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The vital question - What effect do guns owned by law-abiding citizens have on violent crime? - has been conclusively answered. In his comprehensive research of crime and gun control laws, Dr. John Lott proves the absolute accuracy of his ground-breaking study's title: More Guns, Less Crime.

Encouraging law-abiding citizens to be able to defend themselves until armed police arrive reduces crime all across America. It also ensures there's no problem if they are delayed or don't respond. The risk of being shot by an armed victim demotivates a violent criminal in a congested city just as much as in a rural area.

The review - "devastating to gun control" - of More Guns Less Crime has the ring of truth, read it here Open Page in a new Tab or Window. Evaluated by a trained researcher - a University Professor - his review of Dr. Lott's statistically sound yet surprisingly readable study receives exceptionally high praise from readers.

12. Conclusion

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The evidence proving that even more guns cause even less crime is overwhelming. But how come?
  • Although the police have guns to protect both citizens and themselves, it inevitably takes time to get to the scene of the crime. Until they arrive, you're at the mercy of a violent criminal

  • Unarmed citizens make easy prey but a gun will defend you and your loved ones from assault and rape until the police arrive with their own guns to protect you

  • The more guns owned by law-abiding citizens, the more likely a violent criminal will be shot by their armed victim. Guns motivate violent criminals NOT to attack

  • Guns dissuade violent criminals from assault, robbery, and rape equally well in congested areas as in rural ones

  • The more firearms there are, the more they motivate violent criminals to turn to less hazardous crimes such as theft instead of robbery
People throughout the country are realizing they need to protect themselves Open Page in a new Tab or Window. There's no legal obligation for American Police to protect anyone although their job is to protect and serve their citizens. There's even NO OBLIGATION to respond to an emergency call. "You, and only you, are responsible for your security and the security of your family and loved ones." See here, and here, and here, and here, and here Open Page in a new Tab or Window.

The evidence shows the Northeast's lack of guns is the main reason for their high violent crime rate - not congestion or demographics. There's overwhelming proof that no matter how congested the area, criminals commit less violent crime when they fear being shot by their victim.

Food for Thought

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170 million new guns, 51% decrease in violent crime since 1991

"Fear of the unknown gun carrier who is going to punch his ticket to hell... has an immediate effect on reducing violent criminal activity."

– Ron Avery, former police officer with many years of street experience.
Firearms trainer for top level federal agencies and special operations military. His training methodology is used by hundreds of law enforcement agencies across the U.S.

http://www.policeone.com/Gun-Legislation-Law-Enforcement/articles/6186552-PoliceOne-Gun-Control-Survey-Are-legally-armed-citizens-the-best-solution-to-gun-violence Open Page in a new Tab or Window

"With officers laid off and furloughed, simply calling 911 and waiting is no longer your best option... You have a duty to protect yourself and your family."

– Sheriff David Clarke, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Average deaths in a shooting rampage when stopped by police: 14.3. But average deaths when stopped by civilians: far less - just 2.3.

When women and seniors are armed, they can defend themselves from attack by often young, male and much stronger violent criminals, rapists, and terrorists.

So we encourage responsible law-abiding citizens, those who pass the background checks, to be able to protect themselves, their family and their property. Despite negativity and media misunderstanding, Discouraging Criminals is neither Mandatory Gun Ownership nor Compulsory Gun Ownership, it's simply your choice.

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