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Compare violent crime rates in USA and Britain

USA is well armed, Britain has draconian gun control

1. Previous violent crime comparison

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Britain passed draconian gun control laws after deranged mass shootings in 1987 and 1998. Violent crime in Britain - England and Wales (Scotland and Ireland have different systems) - has since gotten much worse.

According to the Wall Street Journal Open Page in a new Tab, gun violence had doubled by 2008 in the decade since guns in Britain were banned and confiscated from their lawful owners.

Yet empowering women and girls to defend themselves Open Page in a new Tab stops rape and sexual assault in countless cases. House of Lords Baroness Caroline Cox reports one white British girl was held prisoner by a Pakistani grooming gang Open Page in a new Tab for 12 years. The United Kingdom is now the most dangerous place for women in Europe Open Page in a new Tab with 131 sexual assaults and 51 rapes per 100,000.

Since there are SIXTY violent crimes for each murder, citizens worry far more about violent crime. When the violent crime rates in Britain and USA were originally compared a decade ago, Britain had 4.36 more violent crimes per person than the USA. [4.36 = Britain’s 2,034 per 100,000 people / USA's rate of 466.] The comparison is now even more dismal for the defenseless British - Britain now has 6.85 more violent crime than the USA! see comparison below.

2. Britain's violent crime is increasing

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My father was petrified of being attacked in his own home in South London. A distant elderly relative was helpless against younger violent criminals - tortured to death in his own home. In gun-free Britain, robbers prefer occupied homes since it's easier to find the valuables by torturing, raping and even murdering the defenseless residents Open Page in a new Tab.

"Her Majesty's Constabulary has metaphorically put a huge neon sign on every suburban cul-de-sac advertising open season on property owners. If you have a crime policy that makes "hot" burglaries routine, it's a reasonable bet that more and more citizens will wind up beaten, stabbed or dead.”

The violent crime rate in Britain continues to rise. Britain's ONS show the violent crime rate increased to 2,700 per 100,000 people Open Page in a new Tab (27 per 1,000 population) in 2017, see Table 2a: Crime Survey for England and Wales incidence rates and number of incidents for year ending December 2017 and percentage change. The number of violent incidents recorded by the police increased to 1,245,000 while there were 175,000 robberies.

For 2018, the Office for National Statistics reveal a 17% increase in robberies Open Page in a new Tab, and a 14% increase in the number of homicides. London’s Air Ambulance Service is now attending more stabbings and shootings than road traffic accidents Open Page in a new Tab for the first time in its 30-year-history.

With a teenager recently shot in a train station Open Page in a new Tab, a London Assembly report has found that gun crime offenses have increased by 44% since 2014 Open Page in a new Tab. How come? The same sources that provide criminals with ILLEGAL DRUGS also provide them with ILLEGAL GUNS Open Page in a new Tab.

3. US violent crime continues falling

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In contrast to Britain's coy crime number obfuscation, the FBI provide detailed and useful analyses. The US violent crime rate per 100,000 people Open Page in a new Tab decreased from 567.6 in 1998 to 506.5 in 2000 to 382.9 in 2017. When adjusted for the inclusion of sexual assault in the significantly expanded definition of rape, the latest violent crime rate increases to 393.9 per 100k, significantly lower than earlier years.

Despite the increase in population, the total number of violent crimes also decreased from 1,425,486 in 2000 to 1,247,321 in 2017.

4. Millions of Defensive Gun Uses

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"Gun Control: The theory that a woman found dead in an alley, raped and strangled with her own pantyhose, is somehow morally superior to a woman explaining to police how her attacker got that fatal bullet wound."

The non-anonymous NCVS crime survey conducted by the Bureau of Justice makes people identify themselves with their address and gives the number of Defensive Gun Uses reported to the police at around 100,000 per year, a small fraction of the several million DGUs per year found by anonymous studies Open Page in a new Tab.

But the vast majority of DGUs aren't recorded because the perp stops his attack once he sees his prey is armed, the gun isn't fired, no one is injured and since there's no serious crime to report, the police aren't informed. Therefore it's no surprise that such incidents don't make it into the official US gun violence statistics.

The hundreds of million guns in America avert several million violent crimes per year, while the lack of guns in Britain mean their law-abiding citizens can't defend themselves. So there are no defensive gun uses in England and Wales - no wonder their violent crime rate is MANY TIMES HIGHER than America!

5. The Harvard Academic Study

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Professors Kates and Mauser's world-wide study Open Page in a new Tab Would Banning Firearms Reduce Murder And Suicide? investigated the Democrats' mantra that "more guns mean more deaths." The empirical evidence proves their incessantly repeated claim is FALSE and that a firearm actually protects you from gun violence. Democratic claims that the US has the industrialized world’s highest murder rate were also found to be false, to be "politically motivated."

US laws permitting millions of qualified citizens to carry more guns have been followed by statistically significant reductions in murder and gun violence.

"During the last quarter of the 2000 century, the murder rate declined 27.7% while the number of handguns owned by Americans increased 160%."

The study proved that countries with stringent gun bans have more murders than more gun friendly ones.

"Luxembourg, where handguns are totally banned and ownership of any kind of gun is minimal, had a murder rate nine times higher than Germany in 2002"

It found that gun ownership by area in both the USA and England show “negative correlation,” which means: "where firearms are most dense violent crime rates are lowest, and where guns are least dense violent crime rates are highest." It noted the especially damaging impact of Britain's draconian gun ban:

"By the year 2000, violent crime had so increased that England and Wales had Europe’s highest violent crime rate, far surpassing even the United States.”

6. Gun policies in the Several States

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Twenty-eight States and the District of Columbia have a "shall-issue" system, in which those who pass background checks and meet other requirements MUST be given permits to carry. States and cities which try to stop citizens from armed self-defense tend to have more violent crime than those with shall-issue policies.

A few hold-outs continue to enact even more restrictions on your right to defend yourself. There are now only eight States with the "may-issue" policy where those who pass the checks and meet the stated requirements can still be denied permits by government officials.

Both Chicago, Illinois and Houston, Texas are shall-issue States. Yet even while benefitting from armed protection at taxpayers expense, Chicago Democratic Mayor Rahm Emanuel insists that “gun control is essential,” and the city has the toughest gun laws in the nation. Apart from gun ownership, there are enormous similarities between Chicago and Houston Open Page in a new Tab. Chicago has one of the highest homicide rates in the country, their murder rate is far higher. Unsurprisingly, Chicago's economic development is far worse Open Page in a new Tab, Houston enjoys far more economic development…

Read about the impact of guns in law-abiding hands Open Page in a new Tab in gun-ownership 101.

7. Constitutional Carry

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Are there differences in violent crime rates between the several States? Yes, each State has its own gun policy and many have enacted Constitutional Carry laws fully legalizing armed self-defense.

Constitutional Carry recognizes that the Constitution's 2nd Amendment means exactly what it says, and it says your right to armed self defense "shall not be infringed." South Dakota became, on 2019/01/31, the 14th State to recognize Constitutional Carry by removing gun license requirements for law abiding citizens Open Page in a new Tab. These laws continue to lower violent crime across the country.

The widespread move to legalize your right to armed self-defense was kick-started by Dr. Susanna Gratia Hupp's compelling testimony to the Texas legislature explaining the cause of her parents' murder in the 1991 Luby’s Cafeteria massacre: her decision to obey the bad gun-control law that zealous Democrats were enforcing Open Page in a new Tab.

"[My] incredibly stupid decision to obey a bad law, and allow my family to get killed. And I was mad at my legislature, because ... they had legislated me out of my right to protect myself and my family."

8. Homicide Rates

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Violent criminals attack innocent citizens in Britain much more frequently than in America. Even these officially acknowledged as under-recorded British numbers indicate the startling reductions in violent crime possible when law-abiding citizens are allowed to defend themselves from a violent criminal.

Since guns are banned in Britain, criminals now carry knives. In 2018 there were 1,012 stabbing admissions just involving children and young men Open Page in a new Tab aged between 10 and 19. That’s up from 656 in 2012-2013 and represents a rise of around 55%.

Wikipedia reports 33,599 firearm-related US gun deaths per year, but gun suicides are two thirds (21,334) while drug wars and criminal shoot-outs are responsible for most of the others. What about the ostensibly higher homicide rate in America than some disarmed European countries? It's BOGUS - caused by the exceptionally high murder rate in fanatical gun-control cities with unarmed citizens such as Chicago, Detroit, Los Angeles, New York, Washington, etc. Remove these Democratic-controlled cities' gun deaths along with gun-suicides from the calculations and America's supposedly higher homicide rate vanishes!

9. Britain's "significantly under-recorded" violent crime rate

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The British obfuscate their crime statistics rather effectively. Unlike America, Britain’s Office for National Statistics do NOT make the raw tables with coherent England and Wales crime rates readily available. However, the actual number of violent crimes in 2017 - 1,349,154 "violence against the person offenses" - is in ONS section 5, Table 3: Police recorded crimes in England and Wales Open Page in a new Tab – rate, number and percentage change for year ending December 2017

Britain's ONS section 5 Overview of crime, Table 2b, sub-head Open Page in a new Tab "Caution should be taken when interpreting police recorded crime trends" (inconspicuously placed a looong way down the page) warns that:

"Despite improvements made in recording in recent years, the latest inspection reports from Her Majesty’s Inspectorate of Constabulary and Fire & Rescue Services (HMICFRS) suggest that some offences, such as VIOLENT CRIME, are still SIGNIFICANTLY UNDER-RECORDED by the police.”

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Although Britain was already more violent than America when previously compared, the latest numbers emphasize that violent crime Britain is becoming ever more violent. The "Recorded violent crime is rising" image from the BBC Open Page in a new Tab (also see image on this page) shows that the number of violent crimes doubled between 2003 and 2017.

Comparing these latest official crime statistics shows there's now 6.85 times more violent crime in Britain (2,700 vs 393.9 per hundred thousand people). The violent crime rate gap is now 57% WORSE, it was 4.36 more (2,034 vs 466) ten years ago, see previous violent crime comparison.

Since the USA and Britain are different countries, there are naturally differences between US and UK crime reporting - the USA is said to be more accurate, more consistent with its definitions. Britain's police even officially admit their violent crime statistics "are significantly under-reported", see section: Britain's "significantly under-recorded" violent crime rate. This minimizes rather than invalidates comparison, of course.

11. How valid is this comparison of violent crime?

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TOTALLY! The highly deceptive NationMaster report which falsely claims to compare violent crime in the US and UK doesn't even see a difference between violent crime and the violent crime rate. Along with its many other shortcomings it's thoroughly debunked here.
The UK have broader crime categories and then differentiate between crimes with and without injury while the US choose to differentiate using categories showing the potential for injury themselves.

Britain's ONS list the 2,700 violence rate and the 400 robbery rate separately, it's possible but seems unlikely from the context that the robbery rate is included in the violence rate. Nevertheless, to deliberately understate the magnitude of the comparison, we've ignored robbery and taken the 2,700 violence rate as the total violent crime rate.

Including the robbery rate would make Britain's violent crime comparison even worse, 7.87 times larger than the USA rate.

Unlike the USA, the British distinguish between violent crimes which do and do not result in injury - roughly half British violent crimes result in injury Open Page in a new Tab. So even comparing the British with injury number with the US total of both with AND without injury, Britain still has more than THREE times more violent crime than America.
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12. Is it true that less guns CAUSE more crime?

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It seems as if the reason for Britain's vastly higher violent crime is their encouragement of violent criminals - their citizens are legally prohibited from defending themselves. But is this the real reason, is it true? Open Page in a new Tab

Is this just CORRELATION, or is there CAUSATION? Do more guns actually improve your self-defense capabilities as a law-abiding citizen and thereby discourage violent criminals resulting in less violent crime? Do less guns CAUSE more crime? Do MORE guns cause LESS crime?

What to trust in a "post-truth" world is a great London Business School TED talk by Alex Edmans which gives us some tools to work out what is and is not true.

So let's explore: Is it true that less guns cause more violent crime? Open Page in a new Tab

Food for Thought

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"Eternal vigilance by the people is the price of liberty, and you must pay the price if you wish to secure the blessing."

- Andrew Jackson, 1767-1845, 7th USA President, advocate of a small and limited federal government

"The goal of socialism IS communism.”
- Vladimir Lenin, Communist political theorist. Head of Soviet Russia and the Soviet Union

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