Home page: How to discourage violent criminals

Your Citizens will Love a Safer City

but how will the Publicity affect your Economic Growth?

1. Morton Grove's complete gun ban - and Kennesaw's response

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Morton Grove City sign
Deciding to be Tough on Guns, Morton Grove in Illinois with over 20,000 people outlawed private gun ownership in 1981, which received enormous positive publicity from Democrats and the media.

Kennesaw in Georgia instead chose to Discourage their Criminals and encouraged their responsible citizens to be able to defend themselves and their families which got enormous negative publicity from the media. Yet their violent crime plummeted by 79% showing that the negative publicity was all beneficial. Official city records show their violent crime rate (per 100,000 people) decreased from 256 to just 66 five years later.

Meanwhile,
Morton Grove's violent crime increased by 15.7% Open Page in a new Tab while in the surrounding areas, crime increased only 3%. Being Tough on Guns continued Morton Grove's crime increase in the years immediately after - and being Tougher on Criminals continues Kennesaw's economic growth and low crime rate today.

2. The effect on Kennesaw's prosperity?

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Population changes in Kennesaw and Morton Grove since UGO
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Kennesaw grows while Morton Grove declines
What effect did the extensive publicity - very positive on Morton Grove's total gun ban and very negative about Kennesaw discouraging their violent criminals - have on their prosperity?

Enormous! Kennesaw's population skyrocketed from 5,084 in 1980 to
32,001 people in 2013 Open Page in a new Tab. And the effect of Morton Grove's total gun ban? Its population was 23,747 in 1980 Open Page in a new Tab and even lower at 23,548 in 2015. Dramatic confirmation that people avoid crime - cities thrive with fewer violent criminals.

Kennesaw have enjoyed major economic growth sustained for over 30 years since they became much Tougher on Criminals in 1982. Their prosperity - and the population decline in Morton Grove - confirms
what the experts say:

"Low crime ... is good for business!"

3. Will they choose your city?

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How many companies don't even consider your city as an investment destination? all Open Page in a new Tab. With the whole country to choose from, the initial low crime cut only leaves you in the race if an investor is unconcerned about your high violent crime. Even though you don't know about them, this is Bastiat's broken window fallacy, the jobs they create somewhere else don't benefit your city!

High crime repels investors while
low crime is good for business. 76% of smallish cities with robbery and violent crime HIGHER than National Average have LOWER than average population growth. Although they're all Tough on Crime, many if not most do less to prevent crime than to clear crime.
As violent crime drops, Kennesaw
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As violent crime plummets, your economic development takes off!
Once Kennesaw discouraged violent criminals from attacking their citizens, violent crime immediately dropped by 74%. The enormous decrease continued and economic development took off because their citizens now put their energy into creating new wealth rather than preventing or recovering from crime. Today they have a very safe and thriving city - one of the most desirable in the USA.

If, despite the best efforts of your police, your crime rate is higher or your economic growth is worse than National Average, then it's time to Discourage your Criminals. Just as more armed police reduce crime,
encouraging your responsible citizens to be able to defend themselves and their property also reduces violent crime.

Responsible leaders also worry about the pain and suffering to their citizens as well as the money it costs them rather than the surprisingly negative image of encouraging qualified citizens to be able to defend their family.
Concerned leaders encourage responsible self-defense - not defenseless victimhood.

4. Convicted Felons: "I wouldn't step foot in Kennesaw"

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Convicted Felon in Jail
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Kennesaw directly encourage their residents to be armed which is a very strong deterrent to criminals. According to their previous Police Chief Dwayne Wilson, all Open Page in a new Tab.

"Felons said they would avoid Kennesaw because they were afraid of armed victims who can defend themselves.''

Attorney Fred D. Bentley, Sr. concurs. As counsel for the town he's absolutely certain that guns are contributing to the peace in his now far larger city. "We have had one murder and that was with a knife," he says with a chuckle and continued "We had a warden of a penitentiary in Florida poll his prisoners after our ordinance came out, and the answer to his poll was this:

"I wouldn't hesitate for a minute to go to [gun-free] Morton Grove,
but I wouldn't step foot in [well-armed] Kennesaw.''

5. Improve police morale and performance

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FBI: Crime Rate Goes Down as Firearm Sales Go Up
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Encouraging responsible citizens to be able to defend their family, their children and their property results in less stress for the police. With fewer violent crimes to investigate and fewer violent criminals to arrest, prosecute and convict, there's less pressure to get on with the next case. Police officers have more time to respond to citizens' other concerns.

Violent criminals are also property thieves, whether or not the owner is around, if they see something they want they just take it. So you'll find property crime also decreases. While Kennesaw's violent crime rate is lots lower than the National Average, their
property crime is also lower - around a third lower Open Page in a new Tab.

Although growth in population will need more police officers, fewer are needed with the reduction in crime which saves officer recruitment as well as police staffing costs in the long-term. Despite lower staffing levels, Kennesaw are among the top 10% in Georgia who meet the international CALEA policing standards. These actively avoid racial profiling, which helps avoid racial tensions.
The stress reductions from less violent crime when responsible citizens are encouraged to defend their loved ones also make recruiting police officers easier. The mayor in one crime-ridden city recently lamented:

“No one wants to be a police officer nowadays."

6. Dollar Savings from becoming much Tougher on Criminals

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Stacks of hundred dollar bills
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The US government study of the tangible costs of violent crime found that violent crimes cost both citizens and society LOTS of money. Each defensive gun usage which stops a robbery saves the Criminal Justice System $13,827 and saves your community $21,398. The more violent criminals are scared of being shot and injured by your citizens, the less violent crime in your city.

With such low crime, Kennesaw is now far more prosperous, their tax take has grown dramatically as the population increased from 5,000 to over 30,000 citizens. This number understates their population which fluctuates with Kennesaw State University and its 25,000 students right next door.

Although the increase in population has also increased police numbers, low crime saves money. In Kennesaw, there are just 1.9 as opposed to the more common 2.7 officers per 1,000 citizens. With 60 rather than 90 officers, Kennesaw are comfortably among the top 10% in Georgia who meet the international CALEA policing standards. These dollar savings from encouraging their citizens to protect their families are only partly estimated:
  • Savings in court costs. Far fewer crimes committed, fewer people arrested and charged with crimes, and lower court backlogs. Not estimated.
  • Savings in jail costs. Lower running costs and staffing savings from fewer crime convictions, every inmate costs around $36,286 per year. Capital savings on new jails at around $75,000 per inmate.
  • Savings in officer recruitment costs. Fewer officers mean less time and money is spent recruiting, while lower crime stresses police officers less. Not estimated.
  • 30 fewer officers costing around $40,000 - $50,000 a year each, total well over a million dollars a year. Kennesaw saved more than a hundred thousand dollars every month last year.
  • Fewer violent crimes means fewer crime victims. Recovery from violent crime costs each victim many thousands of dollars, all Open Page in a new Tab. Health Affairs estimates a minimum of $15,000 for each victim with psychological injuries up to $60,000 to recover from physical wounds.
There are lots of ways to calculate your savings see 1 here, 2 here, 3 here, 4 here, 5 here, 6 here, 7 here, 8 here and 9 here, all Open Page in a new Tab. But you need your own estimate: How much does violent crime cost your city?

7. Compare growth in gun-ban Chicago and lax-gun-laws Houston

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Lax Gun Laws Houston grows while Complete Gun Ban Chicago population declines
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Houston grows while Chicago declines from Gun Ban
Chicago has very tough gun laws, as close to a complete ban as they can get while obeying the Supreme Court ruling that gun-bans are against the Constitution. The inevitable consequence? Chicago murders its citizens at three times the state average, all Open Page in a new Tab, there are 15.65 murders per 100,000 people, compared with just 4.5 for the Midwest, and 5.6 for Illinois.

In stark contrast, Houston enjoys lax gun-laws, influenced by
Dr. Susanna Gratia Hupp whose parents were murdered in the Luby's cafeteria massacre. Democratic politicians were enforcing a law forbidding her to carry her gun in public, so although she has a concealed carry license, she was unarmed when the spree shooting started. Twenty people were killed that day by that safe storage law.

Chicago's population has been decreasing with their severe gun ban. Meanwhile Houston has created an impressive number of jobs. Law-abiding citizens have been leaving Chicago in large numbers, it's lost nearly a million people since 1960 and now has a population not seen since 1910. The disarming reality? Crime soars without guns in responsible hands, whereas crime plummets as gun sales soar.

8. "Low crime is good for business"

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The Crime Numbers Game by Professor Emeritus Eli Silverman

"[Low crime] figures serve a political end.
It brings in tourism; it's good for business."


– Professor Emeritus Eli Silverman, John Jay College of Criminal Justice, New York City

Professor Silverman finding is verified by the manipulation of crime numbers in Chicago and New York. He's the author of the seminal exposé on the CompStat program in Chicago and New York which avoids classifying murders as murders, avoids classifying rapes as rapes, and downgrades serious crimes to less serious offenses:

The Crime Numbers Game: Management by Manipulation
(Advances in Police Theory and Practice)

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/07/12/nypd-compstat_n_3587637.html Open Page in a new Tab

http://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/2014/05/crime-statistics-chicago Open Page in a new Tab

www.amazon.com/The-Crime-Numbers-Game-Manipulation/dp/1439810311 Open Page in a new Tab

9. Summary

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Why did rape, robbery and even property crime go down by so much once Kennesaw directly encouraged gun ownership? Listen to the 2 minute audio explanation of why it works so well to the skeptical Police Chief here (or this mp3 link Open Page in a new Tab, or the wma link Open Page in a new Tab). It's simple - hardened criminals are afraid of being injured when their prey are armed...

There are also enormous dollar savings for your citizens and their families. The FBI Uniform Crime Reports and the National Crime Survey data show that
each and every violent crime costs the unfortunate victim who's been raped, robbed, or assaulted many thousands of dollars Open Page in a new Tab.

The biggest benefit? Encouraging your responsible citizens to be able to defend their families tells the world that you're doing everything you can to improve life in your city. Both people and companies appreciate low crime and safety in a city that focuses on
creating new wealth when deciding to relocate. Put your city on the map by starting implementation now Open Page in a new Tab.
Recovering from crime - or preventing it - doesn't create wealth

Bundles of money - a million dollars
In South Africa you often see armed guards in their cars parked in the shade under trees. There are sometimes two or three together, not always from the same company. What are they doing? They're waiting for a call saying an alarm has been tripped or someone has pushed the panic button.

Now that the South African government has banned law-abiding citizens from owning guns, the police are overstretched and only criminals along with government and private security personnel are armed. So more upmarket homes pay for a private security service to protect them. It's big business.

Such services, and the money that's spent on armed guards as well as locks, alarm systems, etc, is very necessary - definitely worth-while. But although all the money spent does prevent criminals from violent attacks and from stealing your property, it does nothing to create wealth for you or the country.

Economists call this opportunity cost, all Open Page in a new Tab. It's the money wasted in getting you back to where you were before a crime, or in stopping a violent attack. The money used to prevent or recover from theft or injury is wasted rather than used to create new wealth. Because that new wealth is not seen it's often ignored - yet it costs your city over a million dollars a year. See sample calculations here and here.

Food for Thought

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Let the one who has no sword sell his cloak and buy one Jesus (Luke 22 36)
Detroit Police Chief James Craig

The number of CPL [concealed pistol license] holders running around the city of Detroit act as a deterrent.
“Good Americans with CPLs translates into crime reduction. I learned that real quick in the state of Maine ... Maine is one of the safest places in America. Clearly, suspects knew that good Americans were armed.”


– Chief James Craig, Detroit, Michigan

http://www.foxnews.com/us/2014/01/03/detroit-police-chief-james-craig-says-more-citizens-should-be-armed Open Page in a new Tab

Stopped by police 14.3 deaths, stopped by civilians 2.3 die
Average deaths in a shooting rampage when stopped by police: 14.3. But average deaths when stopped by civilians: far less - just 2.3.

So discourage violent criminals and terrorists from attacking your people. Encourage your qualified, law-abiding citizens to be able to defend themselves, their family and their property. Both concealed carry as well as the discretionary ordinance are entirely optional - there's no penalty and they're exempt from complying if they object for any reason at all!

Despite media misunderstanding and much misrepresentation, Universal Gun Ownership is not coercive, it's neither Mandatory Gun Ownership nor Compulsory Gun Ownership. It's simply a choice to be prepared to defend themselves and their loved ones from a violent criminal in advance...

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